新疆婴儿死亡率的变动趋势及区域差异研究

Research of the Change Trend of Infant Mortality and the Regional Differences in Xinjiang

摘要: 利用新疆人口普查和统计年鉴的数据，运用空间分析方法和空间计量经济学模型分析了新疆婴儿死亡率的变动趋势、空间区域差异、婴儿死亡率的经济社会驱动因素。通过分析发现新疆婴儿死亡率存在显著的空间相关性，人均GDP和少数民族人口占总人口比(%)都与婴儿死亡率存在显著的线性关系且人均GDP与婴儿死亡率存在反向的变动关系，少数名族人口占总人口比(%)与婴儿死亡率存在正向的变动关系。

Abstract: We use the data of Xinjiang census and statistical yearbook, spatial analysis and spatial econo-metrics model to analyze the trend of infant mortality in Xinjiang, the economic and social drivers of the spatial and regional differences and infant mortality. Through the analysis of the spatial correlation of infant mortality in Xinjiang, the average per capita GDP and the proportion of the total population of ethnic minorities (%) have a significant linear relationship with infant mortality, and the average GDP per capita has a negative correlation with infant mortality. The proportion of the total population of ethnic minorities (%) has a positive correlation with infant mortality.