贵州西部两次台风倒槽暴雨成因对比分析
Analysis of Two Torrential Rain Caused by Inverted Trough of Typhoon in Western Guizhou
DOI: 10.12677/CCRL.2017.65034, PDF, HTML, XML, 下载: 1,513  浏览: 2,713 
作者: 张润琼*, 龙 园, 严 锐:贵州六盘水市气象局,贵州 六盘水;万汉芸:贵州毕节气象局,贵州 毕节
关键词: 台风倒槽暴雨贵州西部对比分析Inverted Trough of Typhoon Torrential Rain Western Guizhou Contrast Analysis
摘要: 2014年7月19~20日和9月17~18日贵州西部发生了两场由台风倒槽引起的暴雨天气过程,其中9月17~18日的台风倒槽暴雨天气过程引发严重的洪涝灾害。本文利用MICAPS资料、地面加密自动站资料和NCEP再分析资料等对2014年7月19~20日和9月17~18日发生在贵州西部的两次台风倒槽暴雨天气过程进行对比分析。分析发现:两次台风倒槽暴雨天气过程均是在副热带高压588线稳定维持在湖南西部边缘的条件下产生的,台风登陆后减弱为热带低压,热带低压在副热带高压南侧偏东气流影响下西行到达广西西部后,其东北部台风倒槽影响贵州时产生暴雨;台风低压外围的东南急流从南海给暴雨区带来充足的水汽和不稳定能量。“威马逊”台风倒槽暴雨(2014年7月19~20日)由单一的台风倒槽影响造成,热力不稳定层结虽维持时间较长,但上升运动与辐合辐散均不强,对应产生的暴雨强度不大,站点少而分散;“海鸥”台风倒槽暴雨(2014年9月17日~18日)由低涡切变和台风倒槽共同影响产生,强烈的水汽辐合形成于两系统之间的偏南气流里,上升运动与辐合辐散均长时间维持,对应暴雨降雨时间长,站点多而集中。分析贵州西部预报点上空的天气系统的配置及水汽通量和水汽通量散度分布变化特征对贵州西部台风低槽的预报预警有较好地指示作用。
Abstract: During 18-20, June and 17-18, September in 2014, there occurred two infrequent heavy rain in western Guizhou caused by Inverted Trough of Typhoon, which results in serious disaster. Based on observations and NCEP reanalysis data, the two heavy rain cases caused by inverted trough of typhoon in western Guizhou was analyzed. Analysis found that: The two typhoon trough heavy rains are produced under the condition that the stability of the subtropical high pressure of 588 line is in the western edge of Hunan. The typhoons weaken into the tropical depressions after landing. After the tropical depressions under the influence of easterly airflow on the south side of the subtropical high westbound to western Guangxi, rainstorms happen which the northeast of typhoon trough affects in Guizhou. The southeast jet from the periphery of typhoon depression brings abundant water vapor and unstable energy from the South China Sea to the rainstorm area. The typhoon trough rainstorm of Wimason (on July 19-20, 2014) is effect on the single typhoon trough. Although the thermal instability stratification lasted longer, both the ascending movement and convergence or divergence are not strong, corresponding to weak rainstorm intensity and the less and scattered sites. Both the low-level shear and the typhoon trough impact on the typhoon trough rainstorm of Seagull (on September 17-18, 2014). And the strong water vapor convergence is formed in the southerly airflow between the two systems. The ascending movement and convergence or divergence last longly, corresponding to the long time of rainstorm rainfall and the more and concentrated sites. The analysis of weather system configuration on forecast point over the western Guizhou and the distribution variation characteristics of water vapor flux and water vapor flux divergence have good indication function for the prediction and warning of typhoon trough in western Guizhou.
文章引用:张润琼, 龙园, 严锐, 万汉芸. 贵州西部两次台风倒槽暴雨成因对比分析[J]. 气候变化研究快报, 2017, 6(5): 308-316. https://doi.org/10.12677/CCRL.2017.65034

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