甘肃酒泉盆地主要气象要素变化趋势分析
Trend Analysis of the Meteorological Elements in the Ji-uquan Basin, Gansu
DOI: 10.12677/JWRR.2012.16080, PDF, HTML, 下载: 2,945  浏览: 5,944  国家自然科学基金支持
作者: 贾 宪*, 沈 冰*, 苏建伟*：西安理工大学西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室
关键词: 酒泉盆地；累积距平；Mann-Kendall；气温；降水；Jiuquan Basin; Cumulative Anomaly; Mann-Kendall; Temperature; Precipitation
摘要: 根据酒泉地面气象站1955~2004年历年逐月平均气温和逐月降水量资料，运用累积距平方法和Mann-Kendall方法进行酒泉盆地50a来气温和降水趋势和突变的分析。结果表明：酒泉盆地气温整体上呈一定的上升趋势，1955~1985年为缓慢的下降，1985年后出现了明显的上升趋势，而降水没有任何明显的趋势变化，波动较大且频繁。
Abstract:  Hydrological data series from 1955-2004 inthe Jiuquan basin were used to analyze the trend and mutation of temperature and precipitation Based on the cumulative anomaly and Mann-Kendall methods. The results show that the temperature in the Jiuquan basin as a whole is a certain upward trend with a slow decline between 1955-1985, then there have been a clear upward trend, while the precipitation don’t have apparent change trend with frequent and large fluctuations.
文章引用：贾宪, 沈冰, 苏建伟. 甘肃酒泉盆地主要气象要素变化趋势分析[J]. 水资源研究, 2012, 1(6): 497-500. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/JWRR.2012.16080

参考文献

[1] HOUGHTON, J. T., MERIA FILHO, L. G., CACCANDER, B. A., et al. IPCC climate change 1995, the science of climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996.
[2] MCCARTHY, J. J., OSVALDO, F., CANZIANI, N. A., et al. IPCC climate change 2001, impacts, adaptation, and vulnerabil- ity. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[3] 朱利东, 王成善, 等. 青藏高原东北缘酒泉盆地的演化特征与宽台山–黑山断裂的性质[J]. 地质通报, 2005, 24(9): 837- 840. ZHU Lidong, WANG Chengshan, et al. Evolutionary character- istics of the Jiuquan basin and character of the Kuantaishan-He- ishan fault on the northeastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibet Pla- teau. Regional Geology of China, 2005, 24(9): 837-840. (in Chi- nese)
[4] 张光辉, 刘少玉, 等. 西北内陆黑河流域水循环与地下水形成演化模式[J]. 北京: 地质出版社, 2005: 49-101. ZHANG Guanghui, LIU Shaowu, et al. Northwest inland Heihe river basin water cycle and groundwater formation and evolution of mode. Beijing: Geological Publishing House, 2005: 49-101. (in Chinese)
[5] 穆兴民, 杨升学. 讨赖河水系水资源状况分析[J]. 农业科技与信息, 2008, 22: 12-13. MU Xingming, YANG Shengxue. Taolai river system water situa- tion analysis. Agricultural Science and Technology Information, 2008, 22: 12-13. (in Chinese)
[6] 施雅风, 沈永平, 李栋梁, 等. 中国西北气候由暖干向暖湿转型的特征和趋势探讨[J]. 第四纪研究, 2003, 23(2): 152-164. SHI Yafeng, SHEN Yongping, LI Dongliang, et al. Discussion on the present climate change from warm-dry to warm wet in Northwest China. Quaternary Sciences, 2003, 23(2): 152-164. (in Chinese)