中国大陆现代服务业利用FDI的经济增长效应研究

A Study on the Economic Growth Effects from FDI on the Mainland China’s Modern Service Industries

摘要: 当前各国经济快速增长，服务业FDI异军突起，在全球FDI中占据60%以上的比重。这为本文的写作提供了积极的现实基础。本文利用近11年的数据，运用协整分析对中国大陆现代服务业FDI对中国大陆现代服务业总体和典型行业增长效应进行实证分析，得出中国大陆现代服务业FDI与中国大陆现代服务业总体增长存在长期稳定的均衡关系，但对各行业的促进效应不同的结论。

Abstract: With the rapid economic growth of many countries, FDI in service sector is the most striking and accounts for over 60% of the total FDI in the world. FDI in service industry becomes more and more significant in mainland China. This background has provided the practical basis for the writing of this paper. This paper empirically analyzes the economic growth effects from FDI on the mainland China’s whole service industries and the typical service industries by cointegration analysis with the nearest 11 years’ data. The results suggest that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the modern service industry FDI and the modern service industry growth. However, the effects on different industries are various. Finally, the paper takes up with some suggestions to develop the mainland China’s modern service industries by taking advantage of FDI in service industries.