直觉云推理及其在空中目标意图分析中的应用

Intuitionistic Cloud Reasoning and Its Application in Aerial Target Intention Analysis

摘要: 针对高层信息融合中的不确定性推理问题，提出了直觉云模型和直觉云推理方法。首先，考虑到问题的直觉模糊性和随机性，将云模型与直觉模糊集理论相结合，提出了直觉云模型，实现定性概念与其定量表示之间的不确定性转换；然后，根据专家知识构建推理规则库，设计直觉云推理算法，实现不确定性推理；最后，将直觉云推理方法应用到空中目标攻击意图分析中，说明了直觉云推理方法的有效性和实用性。

Abstract: To solve the questions of uncertain reasoning in high level information fusion, intuitionistic cloud model and intuitionistic cloud reasoning are proposed. First, considering the intuitionistic fuzziness and randomness, intuitionistic cloud model is proposed by combining the cloud model and intuitionistic fuzzy set theroy. The intuitionistic cloud model can establish transformation of un-certainty between the qualitative concept and the quantitative description. Then, the rules of rea-soning are constructed according to the expert knowledge, the algorithms of reasoning are designed and uncertain reasoning is carried out. Finally, the approach based on intuitionistic cloud reasoning is used for attacking intention analysis of aerial target, which demonstrates the validity and practicability of the intuitionistic cloud reasoning method.