基于灰色预测方法的广东省人口生育率模型的研究

Analysis on Guangdong Province Fertility Model Based on the Gray Prediction Method

摘要: 作为“中国第一人口大省”的广东，人口生育率的变动趋势与该省未来的经济发展和社会环境问题等都有着密切的关系。本文基于统计数据，使用统计学的理论和方法，对生育率进行单方面的分析，并对其进行变动趋势分析，最后就该趋势进行研究和探讨。

Abstract: As “China’s first populous province”, the movement in fertility rate in Guangdong has a close rela-tionship with the province’s economic development and social environment in the future. Based on the statistical data, this article takes fertility for unilateral analysis using the statistical theory and methods, and analyzes its changing trend, finally makes a discussion about the trends.