京津冀三地婚育行为比较—基于中国妇女社会地位调查数据

A Comparative Study on Marital and Child-Bearing Behavior among Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei—Based on the Survey on the Status of Chinese Women

摘要: 京津冀协同发展是我国政府作出的重大战略决策。三地婚育行为的特征与差异研究对京津冀地区人口总量和结构的预测有重要意义。本文基于中国妇女社会地位调查1990，2000和2010年三期数据，对京津冀三地婚育行为进行了比较研究。研究发现：在结婚行为上，京津冀三地传统模式仍是主流，但现代性日益增加，北京现代性更趋显著；在生育行为上，三地均深受发展和政策的双重影响，人口转变程度呈现明显的北京、天津和河北的梯度效应。在此基础上，文章对京津冀协同战略的实施对三地婚育行为的影响进行了讨论。

Abstract: The coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is a current major strategic decision made by Chinese government. The marital and childrearing behavior, as an essential part of population reproduction is a great significance for the forecast amount and structure of the future population of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. Based on the surveys about the Status of Chinese women in 1990, 2000 and 201, the study indicates that the traditional style of marital behavior still is the mainstream in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei and that modernity is more and more increasing and Beijing is the most; that demographic transition level on the child-bearing behavior of women in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, under the double impact of development and policy, shows a diminishing trend. On this basis, the article discusses the impact of coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei for the behavior of marriage and child rearing.