江西省转移人口市民化意愿研究

A Study on the Citizens’ Willingness to Transfer Population in Jiangxi

摘要: 本文以江西省转移人口市民化意愿调查数据为基础，采用logistic二元回归模型，研究了江西省转移人口市民化意愿问题，并分析了该意愿的影响因素。文章首先对转移人口的概念及内涵进行了新的界定，并通过描述统计分析初步确定了性别、年龄、文化程度、月收入、子女情况、岗位类型、住房情况以及福利体系满意情况对市民化均有影响，并得到在调查者中有81.7%的人表示愿意留在城市生活，18.3%的调查者不愿意留在城市生活，可得到大多数人愿意生活在城市。然后通过logistic二元回归模型进行实证分析发现性别、婚姻状况、文化程度、对福利体系的满意度是影响转移人口市民化意愿的主要显著性因素，针对该结果本文提出了相关制度供给侧改革的相关建议。

Abstract: This paper bases on the survey data of the transfer population urbanization of Jiangxi Province, the paper studies the willing of the population of Jiangxi province and analyses factors of the willing by the two classification logistic regression model. This paper gives a new definition for the concept and connotation of population transfer, and through the descriptive statistical analysis finding the gender, age, education level, monthly income, family situation, types of work, housing and welfare satisfaction having impact on urbanization, and 81.7% of the participants said they are willing to stay in the city life, 18.3% of respondents are not willing to stay in the city life, however, most people are willing to live in the city. Then by the two classification logistic regression model for the empirical analysis finding gender, marital status, education level, satisfaction of the welfare system are the main factors effecting transfer population urbanization willingness, according to the results, this paper puts forward relevant suggestions related to the supply side system reform.