中国城镇居民消费支出影响因素分析

China’s Urban Residents’ Consumption Expenditure Impact Factor Analysis

摘要: 消费对于拉动经济增长有着不可替代的作用，而城镇居民的消费支出在全国消费支出中占据主导地位。本文对全国31个省(市)的城镇居民人均消费支出的影响因素进行了探究，选取了城镇居民人均GDP，居民消费价格指数，人均可支配收入，养老保险人均基金收入，人口增长率作为解释变量，运用多水平模型进行建模分析。分析结果表明在这些变量中人GDP，人均可支配收入对于人均消费支出具有显著的影响，并且具有正的影响效应。最后，对于如何提高居民的消费支出水平提出了相应的建议。

Abstract: Consumption plays an irreplaceable role in driving economic growth, while the consumption ex-penditure of urban residents dominates the national consumption expenditure. In this paper, the national 31 provinces (cities) of the influence factors of urban residents per capita consumption expenditure has carried on the exploration, the selection of urban residents per capita GDP, the consumer price index, the per capita disposable income, the endowment insurance fund income per capita, population growth rate as explanatory variables, a level modeling analysis model. The analysis results show that the per capita disposable income has a significant influence on the percapita consumption expenditure and has a positive effect. Finally, some suggestions are put forward for how to raise the consumption expenditure level of residents.