黄冈市水资源承载力的分析与评价
Analysis and Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Huanggang City
DOI: 10.12677/JWRR.2014.35044, PDF,   
作者: 黄 琼, 吕惠进, 朱灵子：浙江师范大学地理与环境科学学院，金华
关键词: 主成分分析；水资源承载力；黄冈；Principal Component Analysis； Water Resources Carrying Capacity； Huanggang
摘要: 水资源的可持续利用是实现地区可持续发展的重要战略之一。区域水资源承载力是能够反映区域水资源对其社会经济的承载能力的综合性指标，一个地区水资源承载力的大小与当地的社会经济的发展、水资源的开发利用、生态环境的保护息息相关，水资源承载力日益成为衡量区域可持续发展的重要指标之一。本文采用主成分分析法借助SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Science)统计分析软件对黄冈市2003年至2010年水资源相关数据进行分析处理，分析结果表明影响黄冈市水资源承载力的主要因子为人口数量、地区生产总值和居民消费价格水平；根据主成分分析结果对分析所得的因子进行综合性评价，针对评价结果从提高水资源意识，加强水资源管理，提高水资源利用效率三个方面对黄冈市水资源利用提出相关建议，以促进黄冈地区社会经济的健康、快速的可持续发展。
Abstract: The sustainable use of water resources is an important strategy to achieve sustainable development. The regional water resources carrying capacity is an integrated index which can reflect the socio-economic indicators of carrying capacity of water resources. The ability of water resources carrying capacity of an area is related to the local socio-economic development, utilization of water resources and protecting the environment. It’s also becoming an important indicator of regional sustainable development increasingly. In this paper, by using the principal component analysis with the aid of SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Science) statistical software, we analyze and process the relevant data from 2003 to 2010 in Huanggang. The results show that the main factors are GDP, resident population and regional levels of consumption price. We get a comprehensive evaluation of water resources from it. We also make suggestions from three aspects to the water resources utilization in Huanggang: increasing people’s awareness, strengthening the management of water resources and improving the utilization efficiency of water resources. They can promote the healthy, rapid and sustainable development of the social economy in Huanggang.
文章引用：黄琼, 吕惠进, 朱灵子. 黄冈市水资源承载力的分析与评价[J]. 水资源研究, 2014, 3(5): 361-368. https://dx.doi.org/10.12677/JWRR.2014.35044

参考文献

[1] 夏军. 水资源安全的度量——水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J]. 海河水利, 2002, 2: 5-7. XIA Jun. Water security measure—The bearing capacity of water resources research and challenges. Haihe Water Re-sources, 2002, 2: 5-7. (in Chinese)
[2] 施雅风, 曲耀光. 乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 1992: 94-111. SHI Yafeng, QU Yaoguang. The carrying capacity of water resources and its reasonable use of Urumqi river. Beijing: Science Press, 1992: 94-111. (in Chinese)
[3] 邵金花, 刘贤赵. 区域水资源承载力的主成分分析——以陕西省西安市为例[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2006, 34(19): 5017-5018. SHAO Jinhua, LIU Xianzhao. The regional water resources carrying capacity of principal component analysis, in Xi’an of Shaanxi province, for example. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2006, 34(19): 5017-5018. (in Chinese)
[4] 冯利华, 赵涪兴, 瞿有甜. 灾害等级的综合评价[J]. 灾害学, 2002, 17(4): 16-20. FENG Lihua, ZHAO Peixing and QU Youtian. The comprehensive evaluation of disaster grade. Journal of Catastro-phology, 2002, 17(4): 16-20. (in Chinese)
[5] 徐建华, 现代地理学中的数学方法(第二版)[M]. 北京: 化学工业出版社, 2001. XU Jianhua. Modern mathematic method in geography (second edition). Beijing: Chemical Industry Press, 2001. (in Chinese)
[6] 王春娟, 冯利华, 陆小强. 鄂尔多斯市水资源承载力的主成分分析[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2012, 23(1): 77-80. WANG Chunjuan, FENG Lihua and LU Xiaoqiang. Ordos city water resources carrying capacity of principal component analysis. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2012, 23(1): 77-80. (in Chinese)
[7] 惠泱河, 蒋晓辉, 黄强等. 水资源承载力评价指标体系研究[J]. 水土保持通报, 2001, 21(1): 30-33. HUI Yanghe, JIANG Xiaohui, HUANG Qiang, et al. Water resources carrying capacity evaluation index system. Bul-letin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2001, 21(1): 30-33. (in Chinese)
[8] 水利电力部水文局. 中国水资源评价[M]. 北京: 水利电力出版社, 1987: 78-103. Water Conservancy Bureau of Hydrology. Water resources ministry of china evaluation. Beijing: China Water Power Press, 1987: 78-103. (in Chinese)
[9] 朱玉仙, 黄义星, 王丽杰. 水资源可持续开发利用综合评价方法[M]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版), 2002, 32(1): 55- 57. ZHU Yuxian, HUANG Yixing and WANG Lijie. Sustainable water resources development and utilization of compre-hensive evaluation methods. Jilin University (Earth Science), 2002, 32(1): 55-57. (in Chinese)
[10] 谢晓妍. 湖北省水资源承载力研究[D]. 武汉: 华中师范大学, 2012. XIE Xiaoyan. Capacity of water resources in Hubei Province. Wuhan: Huazhong Normal University, 2012. (in Chi-nese)
[11] 刘瑜, 杜江, 张俊飚. 湖北省农业水资源利用效率评价[J]. 中国人口–资源与环境, 2007, 6(17): 60-65. LIU Yu, DU Jiang and ZHANG Junbiao. The evaluation agricultural water use efficiency of Hubei Province. Chinese population-Resources and Environment, 2007, 6(17): 60-65. (in Chinese)