限购政策对二线城市房价的影响——以武汉市为例

The Impact of New Restriction Policy on the Housing Prices of Second-Tier Cities: A Case Study of Wuhan

摘要: 探究二线城市房价变化和影响因素，对调控区域内房屋价格，实现房地产市场平稳健康发展有重要意义。本文基于DEM和价格特征模型，从空间分析和计量分析的角度，对比了武汉市新一轮限购政策前后房价的差异，并进一步探究了影响因素。研究发现，实施调控后，武汉整体住房价格上升趋势放缓，但形成了新的高房价区。限购政策和城市规划建设中的地铁是造成这些地区房价过快上涨的主要原因，最后提出了相应的调整建议。

Abstract: To explore the trend of second-tier urban property price changes and its factors has great signifi-cance to regulate the spatial price and to realize the steady and healthy development of real estate market. Based on Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and Hedonic Model, this paper compares the dif-ferences of housing prices before and after the new Restriction Policy in Wuhan from the perspec-tive of spatial analysis and econometric analysis; then it analyzes the influencing factors. The study found that after the implementation of Restriction Policy, the rising trend of Wuhan overall housing prices has slowed down, but it appears the new high housing prices regions. The Restriction Policy and the constructing subway are main reasons for the rapid rising of housing prices in these areas; the paper also puts forward some conclusions and recommendations.