武汉城市圈经济集聚效应研究

Research on Economic Agglomeration Effect of Wuhan Megalopolis

摘要: 本文系统梳理了城市圈成立相关领域的各种经济学理论，回顾了武汉城市圈成立以来经济、政治领域的各项事业进程，并根据武汉城市圈经济实际情况建立了适当的空间经济学模型，得到了一些具备扎实微观基础并有很好现实启示作用的理论观点。在此基础上，本文对这些理论观点进行了细致的实证分析，实证结果证明了本文理论模型对武汉城市圈进程的拟合度很高，各种理论观点都有着充分的数据支撑。本文研究结果表明，武汉城市圈的成立带来了武汉城市圈区域外部产业向武汉城市圈内部集中，而且成加速之势。同时武汉城市圈的经济集聚效应在内部各市之间的分配并不均衡，集聚现象更倾向于发生在拥有大市场的武汉，有可能形成“中心–外围”格局，但各市居民之间的福利不平衡并不会很大。为此，本文建议一方面需要积极推动城市圈建设以获取经济集聚和相应的增长动力，另一方面也需要重视和解决好区域发展不平衡问题。

Abstract: This paper systematically describes all kinds of theories in the area of megalopolis and agglomeration,introduces the economic and political process of Wuhan megalopolis since it started. Based on the actual situation of Wuhan megalopolis, this paper constructs a proper spatial economic model and gets some useful micro-based conclusions. After detailed empirical study, this paper proves that the spatial model perfectly fits the process of Wuhan megalopolis, by the facts that all theory conclusions have been supported with sufficient data. The results show that with the establishment of Wuhan megalopolis external industry transferring into Wuhan megalopolis has already happened and the concentration trend is speed up. Meanwhile, economic agglomeration effect is not balanced between the partners, which means core-periphery pattern is likely formed, but the imbalance of welfare is comparably small. Therefore, not only the construction of Wuhan Megalopolis should be actively promoted to obtain Economic Agglomeration and economic growth force, but also regional imbalance needs to be highly noticed and solved well.