“双碳”目标下柳州市绿色经济发展与韧性研究

Research on Green Economy Development and Resilience in Liuzhou City under the “Dual Carbon” Goals

摘要: 现如今，城市经济面临着许多冲击，如何提高城市可持续发展能力和韧性是当下的重点问题，本文基于“双碳”的目标之下，通过选取一定时间尺度的相关因素，通过数据分析柳州绿色经济发展及建立指标体系分析经济韧性现状和趋势。研究表明，柳州市双碳政策落地效果显著，不可再生资源消耗减少，节能环保支出增加，绿色经济发展持续向好；经济韧性指标体系具体数据显示，2012年~2022年，柳州市经济韧性，由于大环境的影响，存在些许波动，但整体而言，柳州市经济抵御外来冲击和风险的能力较强，且经济韧性得到明显提升。经过相关性分析和回归模型分析，柳州市绿色经济发展和经济韧性存在一定的影响关系，即绿色经济发展水平越高，经济韧性越强。最后通过分析结果总结本文结论并提出一定的建议。

Abstract: In today’s world, urban economies are confronted with numerous shocks. Enhancing urban sustainable development capacity and resilience has thus become a critical issue. This paper, within the context of the “Dual Carbon” goals, analyzes the green economy development in Liuzhou City and assesses the current state and trends of its economic resilience by selecting relevant factors over a specific time frame and establishing an indicator system. The study shows that the implementation of the Dual Carbon policies in Liuzhou has achieved notable results, characterized by a reduction in non-renewable resource consumption, an increase in energy conservation and environmental protection expenditures, and sustained positive development of the green economy. Specific data from the economic resilience indicator system reveal that, from 2012 to 2022, Liuzhou’s economic resilience experienced slight fluctuations due to the broader environment; however, overall, the city demonstrated a strong capacity to withstand external shocks and risks, with a marked improvement in economic resilience. Through correlation analysis and regression model analysis, a significant relationship is found between green economy development and economic resilience in Liuzhou—specifically, a higher level of green economy development is associated with stronger economic resilience. Finally, based on the analysis results, this paper summarizes the conclusions and offers certain recommendations.