标题:
农村金融发展对城乡贫富差距影响研究—以广东省为例Effect on Rural Wealth Gap Due to the Development of Rural Finance—Taking Guangdong Province as an Example
作者:
黄纯纯, 柳向东
关键字:
农村金融, 贫富差距, VAR模型, Granger因果关系Rural Financial, Gap between Rich and Poor, VAR Mode, Granger Causality
期刊名称:
《Statistics and Application》, Vol.5 No.1, 2016-03-02
摘要:
本文在分析广东城乡贫富差距和农村金融发展的基础上，根据1993年~2014年22年间广东省农村金融发展和贫富差距指标，基于VAR模型运用Johansen协整检验和Granger因果关系检验法，进行实证分析，从而研究广东省农村金融的发展与城乡贫富差距的相关关系。结果显示：广东农村金融相关系数对城乡贫富差距存在长期稳定的协整关系，广东农村金融的存贷比与城乡贫富差距存在单向Granger因果关系，说明广东农村金融的存贷比的减小对缩小城乡贫富差距有一定的促进作用。因此，在农村金融发展过程中，政府应该采取措施防止农村的资金外流，使农村存款尽量多的转化为农村贷款，成为农村投资的资金支持，这样才有利于促进农村经济的增长和农民收入的增加。
This paper is based on analysis of the gap between rural and city and the development of rural finance, according to the 22 years (1993-2014) in Guangdong Province rural financial development and the gap between rich and poor indicators, using Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test based on the VAR model, carries on the empirical analysis to study the correlation between the development of Guangdong Province’s rural finance and urban-rural wealth gap. The results showed that an increase in the loan-deposit ratio of rural finance in Guangdong narrowed the gap between urban and rural areas for a certain role. Therefore, the process of rural develop-ment in the financial government should take measures to prevent capital outflows in rural areas, as much as possible to make the rural deposits into rural credit, rural investment to become fi-nancial support, which help promote rural economic growth and increase farmers’ income.