AAM  >> Vol. 4 No. 3 (August 2015)

    Modeling and Simulation of Influenza A (H1N1) in Beijing

  • 全文下载: PDF(1153KB) HTML   XML   PP.292-298   DOI: 10.12677/AAM.2015.43036  
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温馨,薛亚奎,夏智强:中北大学理学院,山西 太原

甲型H1N1流感基本再生数仿真模拟Influenza A (HIN1) The Basic Reproductive Rate Simulation


According to the mechanism and characteristics of influenza A (HIN1), this essay constructed a mathematical model. Then, the article got a threshold R0 indicating whether the disease had been controlled or not. At the same time, this essay used the prevention data of Beijing in 2009 when the epidemic broke out simulating the model. The parameters of the model, which got sensitivity analysis, are clear, and data source is reliable. The model reflects the process of the epidemic spread, and intuitively describes the development of influenza A (HIN1). Thus, this article is useful in providing decisions for the prevention and control of the epidemic.

温馨, 薛亚奎, 夏智强. 北京市甲型H1N1流感建模与仿真研究[J]. 应用数学进展, 2015, 4(3): 292-298. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/AAM.2015.43036