基于SVAR模型研究环境污染与经济增长的关系

Research of the Relationship between Environmental Pollution and Economic Growth Based on SVAR Model

摘要: 本文选取了1997~2010年全国工业的环境及经济数据，建立了工业废水、废气SO2与工业GDP的计量模型，基于结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型分析了变量之间的相互影响关系，结果显示环境因素对经济因素有长期影响。

Abstract: This paper selected the data of country’s industrial environment and economic from 1997 to 2010, and the measurement model of industrial waste water, waste gas SO2 and industrial GDP was established. Based on SVAR (Structural Vector Autoregression) model, the impact of relationships between variables was analyzed, and the results showed that environmental factors had long-term effects on economic factors.