基于UMM的主设备运维策略研究

Research on Operation and Maintenance Decision-Making of Main Equipment Based on UMM

摘要: 介绍了目前南网运维策略现状，并分析了现在运维策略中存在的弊端。针对此，本文提出了一种考虑设备全寿命周期成本，基于贝叶斯网络模型的不确定多阶段多目标运维决策模型，并给出了模型求解过程。最后通过建立GIS的UMM (uncertainty)运维策略模型，制定最佳的运维策略，验证所提出UMM决策模型的有效性。

Abstract: In this paper the existing situation of the operation maintenance strategy of gird main equipment is presented and the problems of traditional operation maintenance strategy are analyzed. A new model based on uncertainty multi- stage and multi-object by Bayesian network is presented in this paper, which is for making operation maintenance strategy with the consideration of life cycle cost. In the end a GIS example proves the UMM model’s practical applications.