供给侧改革与冷镦机产业

The Supply-Side Reform and Cold-Heading Machine Industry

摘要: 供给侧改革是未来一段时间内我国宏观经济管理的主攻方向和政策着力点。本文从冷镦机产业视角理解供给侧改革，分析为什么改、改什么、怎么改三个问题。当前冷镦机产业的主要问题是我国冷镦机产业处于产业价值链的低端，利润低。生产经营成本的提高与金融危机的影响，导致部分冷镦机生产商产能过剩，经营困难。研发投入不足，创新能力薄弱，劳动力供给首现拐点，研究人员数量相对过少，针对以上问题本文提出了冷镦机产业供给侧改革的方向。

Abstract: The supply-side reform will be the main direction and policy focus of our nation’s macroeconomic management in the coming period. The paper tries to understand the supply-side reform in per-spective of the cold heading machine industry and analyzes why to change, what to change and how to change. Current problems in the cold heading machine industry in china are that it is in the low- end industrial value chain with low-margin. The increase of operating costs and the affect of financial crisis result in overcapacity and operational difficulties of some cold heading machine manufacturers. Meanwhile, investment of R&D is inadequate and innovation capacity is weak, as well as the turning point appears in labor supply at the first time. The number of researchers is relatively too small. To solve these problems, the direction of supply-side reforms is proposed for the cold heading machine industry.