江苏省谷物类农产品竞争力：基于2001~2010年的实证分析

The Competitiveness of the Cereal Products in Jiangsu Province: Empirical Analysis Based on the Data from 2001 to 2010

摘要: 加入WTO以后，江苏省谷物类农产品贸易出现了新特征。本文采用贸易竞争力指数(TC)、类显示比较优势指数(LRCA)、国际市场占有率指数(MS)对江苏省谷物类农产品的国际竞争力进行了分析，并建立计量经济模型对影响谷物类农产品贸易竞争力因素，包括粮食作物播种面积、农民家庭人均农业收入、汇率、CPI指数进行了实证分析。结果表明，江苏谷物类农产品贸易的比较优势正在消失，国际市场占有率逐渐降低，竞争力不断减弱。在此基础上本文提出提高江苏谷物类农产品竞争力的对策与建议。

Abstract:  After the entry to WTO, the trade of cereal products in Jiangsu Province shows some new features. This article adopts the indexes of TC, LRCA, MS to analyze the international competitiveness of cereal products of Jiangsu. The article also analyzes some factors which affect the trade competitiveness of cereal products, including crop area, per farming income in farm family, the exchange rate, CPI, by establishing an econometric model. The result shows that the comparative advantage in Jiangsu cereal products is disappearing, the share of international market is gradually reducing, and the competitiveness is diminishing. Based on the analysis, the article puts forward some suggestions to improve the competitiveness of cereal products of Jiangsu.