山东省炼化企业之间的竞合博弈分析

Analysis on Competition and Cooperation Games about the Refining Enterprise in Shandong Province

摘要: 地方炼化企业冲击着四大国有石油公司在山东成品油市场的影响力，成品油市场表现为不稳定性趋势。为了保障成品油市场的稳定，建立和谐共赢的石油市场体系，文章首先阐述了山东省炼化业的发展状况；其次，利用“产量博弈”和“价格博弈”模型分析山东省炼化企业之间的竞合博弈及其影响因素，结果表明：山东省炼化企业最终将采取联盟合作，影响博弈过程的主要因素有原料油来源、燃油消费税、成品油销售渠道和产业结构；最后，提出了山东省炼化业的发展建议。

Abstract: Oil supply market emerged the power pattern between the four major state-owned oil companies and local refining enterprise in Shandong province, local refining enterprise impacts refined oil market’ influence of the four major state-owned oil companies in Shandong province, refined oil market performance for instability trend. In order to protect finished oil market’ stabilization in Shandong province and establish petroleum market system of the win-win situation. This article elaborates the development situation of refining industry in Shandong province; secondly, using “output game” and “price game” model to research the Competition and Cooperation Games about refining enterprise competition in Shandong Province and its influencing factors, results show that: Shandong refining enterprise will eventually take alliance cooperation, the main factors which influence game process are raw material oil source, fuel consumption tax, sales channels of refined oil, structure of industries; finally, putting forward refining industry development suggestions in Shandong province.