基于隐Markov链模型的欧洲足球运动员转会规律的研究

Study on the Rule of European Soccer Players Transfer Based on Hidden Markov Model

摘要: 通过隐Markov链模型描绘欧洲足球运动员在每一个转会期的球员转会过程，模型中所考虑的各种隐藏因素的影响使得模型对转会规律能够做出更为准确的刻画。实证结果所揭示的欧洲足球运动员转会市场所隐藏的规律，对中国足球今后的发展具有一定的借鉴意义。

Abstract: A more accurate illustration of the mechanism of European soccer players transfer market can be achieved by taking “hidden” factors into consideration and simulating the transfer model in each period through HMM (Hidden Markov Model). With the underlying mechanism of European transfer market better illustrated, it is possible to provide hints for the future path of Chinese soccer market.