吉尔吉斯斯坦清洁电能合作开发的机遇与风险研究

Study on Opportunities and Risks of Cooperative Development of Clean Electric Energy in Kyrgyzstan

摘要: 吉尔吉斯斯坦具有丰富的洁净能源储量且与我为邻，是我国在中亚洁净能源电力投资的主要方向之一。本文在对吉尔吉斯斯坦洁净能源深入研究的基础上，结合吉尔吉斯斯坦电力工业发展现状以及投资环境，深入探析了吉尔吉斯斯坦合作开发清洁电能面临的机遇，提出水电是在吉尔吉斯斯坦洁净能源合作开发中最具有开发性、经济性的领域，进一步分析了投资吉尔吉斯斯坦水电所面临的选址风险以及潜在社会风险，并基于DDRTS建立了吉尔吉斯斯坦主要电网结构图，提出了利用可投资性评估以及PV曲线解决选址风险的对策，同时也针对面临的潜在社会风险提出了规避复杂的地区形势及国际关系的方法，对中国拓展吉国清洁电力市场有重要的现实意义。

Abstract: Kyrgyzstan has abundant clean energy reserves and is a neighbor to China. It is one of the main directions for China’s investment in clean energy in Central Asia. Based on the in-depth study of Kyrgyzstan’s clean energy, this paper combines Kyrgyzstan’s electric power industry development status and investment environment, and indepth analysis of the opportunities for Kyrgyzstan’s cooperation in the development of clean electric power. It is proposed that hydropower is the most effective in Kyrgyzstan clean energy cooperation and development. In the field of development and economy, the location risk and potential social risks faced by the investment in Kyrgyzstan’s hydropower were further analyzed. The main grid structure diagram of Kyrgyzstan was established based on DDRTS, and the use of investment assessment and PV curve solution was proposed. Addressing the risks of the site, it also proposes ways to circumvent complicated regional situations and international relations in view of the potential social risks it faces, which is of great practical significance for China to expand the clean electricity market in Kyrgyzstan.