加权网络上一类SIRS传染病模型的动力学分析
Dynamics Analysis of an SIRS Epidemic Model on Weighted Networks
DOI: 10.12677/AAM.2019.83042, PDF,    科研立项经费支持
作者: 袁叙普, 胡海军:长沙理工大学数学与统计学院,湖南 长沙;李 娟
关键词: SIRS模型权重网络全局渐近稳定准持久SIRS Epidemic Model Weighted Networks Globally Asymptotically Stable Quasi-Persistent
摘要: 本文主要研究基于权重网络的一类SIRS传染病模型的动力学行为,发现基本再生数R0决定了传染疾病的传播与否。即,若R0<1则无病平衡点E0是全局渐近稳定性的;若R0>1则地方病平衡点E*是存在唯一的,并且此时系统也是准持久的。最后通过数值仿真,验证了理论结果的正确性。
Abstract: In this paper, an improved SIRS epidemic model on weighted networks is investigated and we ob-tain that the basic reproduction number R0 determines whether a disease persists, i.e., if R0<1, then the disease-free equilibrium E0 is globally asymptotically stable; if R0>1, there exists a unique endemic equilibrium E*. Furthermore, the model is quasi-persistent if R0>1. Finally, some simulations are presented to demonstrate the correctness of the theoretical results.
文章引用:袁叙普, 胡海军, 李娟. 加权网络上一类SIRS传染病模型的动力学分析[J]. 应用数学进展, 2019, 8(3): 371-380. https://doi.org/10.12677/AAM.2019.83042

参考文献

[1] 马知恩, 周义仓, 王稳地, 靳祯. 传染病动力学的数学建模与研究[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2004.
[2] Kermack, W.O. and McKendrick, A.G. (1927) Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A, 115, 700-721. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[3] Kermack, W.O. and McKendrick, A.G. (1932) Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics. II. The Problem of Endemicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A, 138, 55-83. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[4] Zhu, G., Chen, G. and Fu, X. (2017) Effects of Active Links on Epi-demic Transmission over Social Networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 468, 614-621. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[5] Pastor-Satorras, R. and Vespignani, A. (2001) Epidemic Spreading in Scale-Free Networks. Physical Review Letter, 86, 3200-3203 [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[6] Li, C.-H., Tsai, C.-C. and Yang, S.-Y. (2014) Analysis of Epi-demic Spreading of an SIRS Model in Complex Heterogeneous Networks. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 19, 1042-1054. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[7] Zhu, G., Fu, X. and Chen, G. (2012) Spreading Dynamics and Global Stability of a Generalized Epidemic Model on Complex Heterogeneous Networks. Applied Mathematical Mod-elling, 36, 5808-5817. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[8] Chu, X., Zhang, Z., Guan, J., et al. (2009) Epidemic Spreading with Nonlinear Infectivity in Weighted Scale-Free Networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics & Its Applications, 390, 471-481. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[9] Read, J.M., Eames, K.T.D. and Edmunds, W.J. (2008) Dynamic Social Networks and the Implications for the Spread of Infectious Disease. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 5, 1001-1007. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[10] Zhu, G., Chen, G., Xu, X., et al. (2013) Epidemic Spreading on Contact Networks with Adaptive Weights. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 317, 133-139. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[11] Eames, K.T., Read, J.M. and Edmunds, W.J. (2009) Epidemic Prediction and Control in Weighted Networks. Epidemics, 1, 70-76. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[12] Yan, G., Zhou, T., Wang, J., et al. (2004) Epidemic Spread in Weighted Networks. PLOS Computational Biology, 9, 183-192.
[13] Moreno, Y., Gomez, J.B. and Pacheco, A.F. (2003) Epidemic Incidence in Correlated Complex Networks. Physical Review E. Statistical Nonlinear & Soft Matter Physics, 68, 035103. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[14] Barrat, A., Barthelemy, M., Pas-tor-Satorras, R. and Vespignani, A. (2004) The Architecture of Complex Weighted Networks. Proceedings of the Na-tional Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 101, 3747-3752. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[15] Barrat, A., Barthelemy, M. and Vespignani, A. (2004) Weighted Evolving Networks: Coupling Topology and Weight Dynamics. Physical Review Letter, 92, 228701. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[16] Barrat, A., Barthelemy, M. and Vespignani, A. (2004) Mod-eling the Evolution of Weighted Networks. Physical Review E: Statistical Nonlinear & Soft Matter Physics, 70, 066149. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[17] 马知恩, 周义仓. 常微分方程定性与稳定性方法[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2015.
[18] Lajmanovich, A. and Yorke, J.A. (1976) A Deterministic Model for Gonorrhea in a Nonhomogeneous Population. Mathematical Biosciences, 28, 221-236. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef