基于逐步回归的区域综合环境治理决策分析——以江苏省为例

Decision Analysis of Regional Comprehensive Environmental Governance Based on Stepwise Regression —Take Jiangsu Province as an Example

摘要: 经济发展与环境治理的关系研究具有重要的理论意义与现实需求。本文首先在熵权法赋权的基础上，使用逐步线性回归法构建经济发展、环保投资以及环境污染等关系的评估模型。其次针对涉及经济发展、环保投资以及工业污染的18项指标，以江苏省近21年来相关数据为依据对三者关系进行量化评估，得到对经济发展影响最重要的三项指标的线性关系表达式。最后在对模型的有效性进行验证的基础上，针对经济发展与环境治理的关系提出相应的意见与建议。

Abstract: The study on the relationship between economic development and environmental governance is of great theoretical significance and practical demand. In this paper, based on the weight of the entropy weight method, the stepwise linear regression method is used to construct the evaluation model of the relationship between economic development, environmental protection investment, and environmental pollution. Furthermore, this paper focuses on 18 indexes relating to these three factors to quantitatively evaluate the relationship between them. These conclusions are drawn from relevant data obtained from Jiangsu Province over the past 21 years. Likewise, this paper also evaluates the linear expression of these three indexes, and the influence on economic development is therefore also obtained. Finally, on the basis of verifying the effectiveness of the model, this paper puts forth several suggestions on the relationship between economic development and environmental governance.