摘要: 论文分析了目前长江流域水资源管理方面存在的问题，提出了建设水资源综合管理决策支持系统的必要性，指出建设长江流域水资源模型是该系统的基础与核心。构建长江流域水资源模型应综合考虑动态水文循环、需水预测、水资源优化配置、应急调水以及不同的气候变化模式。选取汉江流域为典型流域，初步实现了集模拟–预测–配置–调度(优化)为一体的水资源模型，为今后长江流域水资源模型的建立奠定了理论和模型基础。
Abstract:
The current weakness of water resource management in the YangtzeRiver basinwas discussed, and future necessity and key function of supporting system based on water resource model for integrated management were analyzed in this paper. The system should take into account of climate-change pushed hydrological cycle, water demanding prediction, water resource optimal allocation and emergent water diversion, etc. The pilot system will be developed firstly for water resource simulation, prediction, allocation and optimization in the Han River, and then extend to Yangtze River basin.