内蒙古多伦地区降雨量预报模型研究
Precipitation Prediction Model in the Duolun Area, Inner Mongolia
摘要: 本文利用自回归滑动平均模型(ARMA)对多伦地区多年降雨量数据进行分析,进行时间序列模拟,建立了ARMA模型,验证了该模型在研究区的适用性,并用该模型对多伦地区未来2~3年的降雨量进行预测,并分析了该模型的利弊,为该区生产生活服务。
Abstract:
We use the ARMA model to analyze rainfall data of Duolun, and use the established ARMA model to verify the applicability of the model and to predict the next 2 to 3 years rainfall in the Duolun region for the production and life.
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