变化环境下水文模拟的几个关键问题和挑战
Hydrological Modeling in a Changing Environment: Issues and Challenges
DOI: 10.12677/JWRR.2013.22013, PDF, HTML,  被引量 下载: 4,627  浏览: 21,498  国家自然科学基金支持
作者: 许崇育*：武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室，武汉；挪威奥斯陆大学地学系，奥斯陆，挪威；陈 华, 郭生练：武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室
关键词: 环境变化；水文模拟；无资料流域；非稳定性；时空尺度耦合；Environment Change; Hydrological Modeling; Ungauged Basins; Non-Stationarity; Spatial and Time Scales Coupling
摘要: 本文讨论了环境变化对水文循环和水文过程的影响，回顾了水文模型发展的历史，取得的成就和存在的问题。重点讨论了环境变化下水文模拟的几个主要问题：1) 水文过程和降雨-径流关系的非稳定性问题；2) 水文模型在无资料流(区)域的应用问题；3) 水文模型在变尺度(时间和空间)情况下存在的问题；4) 和水文模型与气候模型耦合的可能性问题。在讨论问题的同时提出作者独到的观点和想法。
Abstract: This paper discusses the impact of environment change on hydrological cycle, hydrological proc- esses and hydrological modeling. The paper starts with a review of the history of the hydrological models’ development, the current state and the main challenges. Emphases are then paid to the following issues: the non-stationarity of hydrological processes and the rainfall-runoff relationship, the transferability of hydro- logical models (structure and parameters) across time periods, across spatial regions, across spatial and time scales, and coupling of hydrological models with climate models.
文章引用：许崇育, 陈华, 郭生练. 变化环境下水文模拟的几个关键问题和挑战[J]. 水资源研究, 2013, 2(2): 85-95. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/JWRR.2013.22013

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