中国与苏丹经贸合作现状及其主要影响因素分析

Analysis on the Status Quo of China-Sudan Economic and Trade Cooperation and Its Main Influencing Factors

摘要: 苏丹与中国2020年的进出口贸易额为32.78亿美元1，中国的经济总量相对苏丹有较大的优势，所以苏丹应该利用中国的经济影响力来促进本国的经济发展。本文通过定量分析法对中国与苏丹经贸合作现状及其主要影响因素分析进行分析，在分析的过程首先利用联合国会议贸易与发展官网来收集数据，通过数据来了解中国与苏丹的经济贸易合作现状，同时分析苏丹国内的产业发展情况。然后通过回归分析方法对中国与苏丹经贸合作可能的影响因素进行阐述。通过实证分析得出的数据结果如下所示：苏丹农业发展，苏丹服务业发展均会对中国与苏丹的进出口贸易总额产生显著的正向影响关系。基于实证分析的结果本文提出一些政策建议：苏丹不断的提高自身的农业产业发展速度、苏丹促进经济转型提高服务贸易产业竞争力、利用中国“一带一路”倡议来发展双边贸易合作。

Abstract: The import and export trade volume between Sudan and China in 2020 is 3.278 billion US dollars. China’s economic aggregate has a greater advantage than Sudan. Therefore, Sudan should use Chi-na’s economic influence to promote its own economic development. This article analyzes the status quo of economic and trade cooperation between China and Sudan and its main influencing factors through quantitative analysis. In the process of analysis, the official website of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development is used to collect data, and through the data to understand the current situation of economic and trade cooperation between China and Sudan. At the same time, it analyzes the domestic industrial development in Sudan. Then, the possible influencing fac-tors of the economic and trade cooperation between China and Sudan are expounded through re-gression analysis. The data results obtained through empirical analysis are as follows: the agricul-tural development of Sudan and the development of Sudan’s service industry will both have a sig-nificant positive impact on the total import and export trade between China and Sudan. Based on the results of empirical analysis, this article puts forward some policy suggestions: Sudan should continuously improve the development speed of its agricultural industry, Sudan should promote economic transformation and improve the competitiveness of the service trade industry, and use China’s the Belt and Road initiative to develop bilateral trade cooperation.