“新冠肺炎”疫情对求职的影响——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

Impacts of the COVID-19 Epidemic on Job Hunting—An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

摘要: 本文基于新型冠状病毒肺炎爆发的背景，研究疫情对中国求职的影响，选取2015年至2020年一季度中国31个省(市)的面板数据进行实证分析，在此基础上将31个省份分为东部、中部、西部和东北地区检验区域异质性，并基于各省受教育水平分地区分析。结果显示疫情对各省的求职都有负面效应，东部地区最为显著，中部与西部地区次之，对东北地区的效果不明显；疫情对平均受教育水平较高地区负面影响较大。本文的政策建议在于，促进经济结构转型，加大企业优惠政策，保障企业复工复产，重点保障毕业生与农民工群体稳定就业。

Abstract: Based on the background of the coronavirus pneumonia outbreak, this article studies the impact of the epidemic on job hunting in China. The panel data of China’s 31 provinces (cities) from 2015 to the first quarter of 2020 are selected for empirical analysis, and on this basis, 31 provinces are divided into eastern, central, western and northeastern regions to test its heterogeneity, and to test its heterogeneity based on the level of education in different regions. The results show that the epidemic has a negative effect on job hunting in all provinces. The eastern region is the most significant, followed by the central and western regions, but the effect on the Northeast is not ob-vious; the epidemic has a greater negative impact on areas with higher average education levels. The policy recommendations of this article are to promote economic restructuring, increase pref-erential policies for enterprises, ensure that enterprises resume work and resume production, and focus on ensuring stable employment for graduates and migrant workers.