地方政府竞争对产业结构的影响研究

Study on the Influence of Local Government Competition on Industrial Structure

摘要: 产业结构升级已逐渐成为推动经济高质量发展的关键因素，本文基于2011~2018年我国31个省级行政区的面板数据，采用双向固定效应、分段检验方法实证检验地方政府竞争对产业结构的作用效应及影响机制。结果显示：1) 地方政府竞争的加剧会引致产业结构失衡，更换变量衡量方式、改变样本容量后上述结果依然稳健；2) 异质性检验结果发现地方政府竞争在东部地区对产业结构升级有显著的促进作用，而在中、西部地区则阻碍产业结构转型升级，但在西部地区不显著；3) 进一步机制检验结果发现，地方政府竞争主要通过技术创新和消费水平两个渠道影响产业结构。

Abstract: The upgrading of industrial structure has gradually become a key factor to promote high-quality economic development. Based on the panel data of 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2011 to 2018, this paper empirically examines the effects and mechanisms of local government competition on the industrial structure by using two-way fixed effect and segment test methods. The results show that: 1) the intensification of local government competition will lead to the imbalance of industrial structure, and the above results are still stable after changing the measurement method of variables and changing the sample size; 2) The heterogeneity test results show that local government competition has a significant promotion effect on industrial structure upgrading in the eastern region, while it hinders industrial structure transformation and upgrading in the central and western regions, but not in the western region; 3) Further mechanism test results show that local government competition affects industrial structure mainly through two channels: technological innovation and consumption level.