基于油气管道风险评价规范的城镇燃气管道震害失效事故树研究
Study on Failure Accident Tree for Urban Gas Pipelines under Earthquakes Based on the Risk Evaluation Criterion of Oil and Gas Pipeline
DOI: 10.12677/jogt.2024.464061, PDF,   
作者: 朱 恒：四川省燃气集团有限公司，四川 广元；张 鹏：西南石油大学土木工程与测绘学院，四川 成都
关键词: 城镇燃气管道；对标分析；事故树；管道失效；地震震害；Urban Gas Pipeline； Benchmarking Analysis； Accident Tree； Pipeline Failure； Earthquake Damage
摘要: 为有效提高城镇燃气管网抗震性能与安全运行能力，本文对国内油气管道风险规范进行对标分析，并建立城镇燃气管道震害失效指标体系，确立指标体系中一级指标为地震危害性和管道易损性；对地震下城镇燃气管道、给水管道的失效事件进行分析整理，得出城镇燃气管道失效中间事件和基本事件，最终得到城镇燃气管道震害失效事故树。建立城镇燃气管道震害失效事故树，对提高城镇燃气管道在地震下安全运行，减少管道事故损失具有重要的意义。
Abstract: To effectively improve the seismic resistance and safety operation capacity of urban gas pipelines, this paper conducts benchmarking analysis of domestic oil and gas pipeline risk standards and establishes a failure index system for urban gas pipelines under earthquakes. The primary index of the index system is earthquake hazard and pipeline vulnerability. The intermediate and basic failure events of urban gas pipelines and water pipelines under earthquakes are analyzed and sorted, and the failure accident tree of urban gas pipelines under earthquakes is obtained. The establishment of the failure accident tree for urban gas pipelines under earthquakes is of great significance for improving the safety operation of urban gas pipelines in earthquakes and reducing pipeline accident losses.
文章引用：朱恒, 张鹏. 基于油气管道风险评价规范的城镇燃气管道震害失效事故树研究[J]. 石油天然气学报, 2024, 46(4): 486-496. https://doi.org/10.12677/jogt.2024.464061

参考文献

[1] 黄维和, 宫敬, 王军. 碳中和愿景下油气储运学科的任务[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(6): 607-613.
[2] 黄维和, 王军, 黄龑, 等. “碳中和”下我国油气行业转型对策研究[J]. 油气与新能源, 2021, 33(2): 1-5.
[3] 孙逸林, 王冶, 刘险峰, 等. 基于24Model的燃气管道维抢事故致因定量分析方法[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(7): 795-801.
[4] Fang, W., Wu, J., Bai, Y., Zhang, L. and Reniers, G. (2019) Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Natural Gas Pipeline in an Underground Utility Tunnel. Process Safety Progress, 38, e12051. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[5] Zhao, L., Qi, G., Dai, Y., Ou, H., Xing, Z., Zhao, L., et al. (2023) Integrated Dynamic Risk Assessment of Buried Gas Pipeline Leakages in Urban Areas. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 83, Article 105049. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[6] Zhao, L., Yang, R., Bao, J., Ou, H., Xing, Z., Qi, G., et al. (2023) Dynamic Risk Assessment Model for Third-Party Damage to Buried Gas Pipelines in Urban Location Class Upgrading Areas. Engineering Failure Analysis, 154, Article 107682. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[7] Jeon, S.-S. and O’Rourke, T.D. (2005) Northridge Earthquake Effects on Pipelines and Residential Buildings. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 95, 294-318. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[8] 何双华. 供水管网系统抗震可靠性分析及加固优化研究[D]: [博士学位论文]. 大连: 大连理工大学, 2009.
[9] 刘威, 徐良, 李杰. 供水管网抗震拓扑优化算法研究[J]. 中国科学: 技术科学, 2012, 42(11): 1351-1360.
[10] 金书淼. 城市供水系统地震灾害风险及恢复力研究[D]: [博士学位论文]. 哈尔滨: 哈尔滨工业大学, 2014.
[11] Ling, Z., Xia, J., Cai, G., Tang, P., Chen, C. and Guo, W. (2018) Study on the Risk Based Inspection and Evaluation System for Polyethylene Gas Pipeline. ASME 2018 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference, Prague, 15-20 July 2018, PVP2018-84507. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[12] Cavalieri, F. (2020) Seismic Risk Assessment of Natural Gas Networks with Steady-State Flow Computation. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 28, Article 100339. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[13] 王雯悦, 伍颖, 尤潇, 等. 基于改进Borda法与属性识别的山区输气管道地震易损性评价[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(11): 1265-1271.
[14] Kwong, N.S., Jaiswal, K.S., Baker, J.W., Luco, N., Ludwig, K.A. and Stephens, V.J. (2022) Earthquake Risk of Gas Pipelines in the Conterminous United States and Its Sources of Uncertainty. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 8. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] 
[15] 中华人民共和国国家质量监督检验检疫总局. GB/T27512-2011埋地钢质管道风险评估方法[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2011.
[16] 中国石油集团石油管工程技术研究院. SY/T6859-2020油气输送管道风险评价导则[S]. 北京: 石油工业出版社, 2020.
[17] 国家能源局. SY/T6891.1-2012油气管道风险评价方法 第1部分: 半定量法[S]. 北京: 石油工业出版社, 2012.
[18] 国家能源局. SY/T6891.2-2020油气管道风险评价方法 第2部分: 定量法[S]. 北京: 石油工业出版社, 2020.
[19] 国家能源局. SY/T6828-2017油气管道地质灾害风险管理技术规范[S]. 北京: 石油工业出版社, 2017.
[20] Jeon, B.G., Chang, S.J., Kim, J.B. and Ju, B.S. (2020) Experimental Study for Earthquake and Subsidence-Resistant Performance Evaluation of iPVC Buried Water Pipe. Journal of the Korea Institute for Structural Maintenance and Inspection, 24, 16-23.
[21] 刘恢先. 唐山大地震震害-第一册[M]. 北京: 地震出版社, 1985.
[22] 刘恢先. 唐山大地震震害-第三册[M]. 北京: 地震出版社, 1986.
[23] 苏幼坡, 等. 城市生命线系统震后恢复的基础理论与实践[M]. 北京: 地震出版社, 2002.
[24] 草野Kaoru, 渡边实. 大家的防灾应急手册[M]. 贺黎, 梁嘉, 译. 成都: 四川科学技术出版社, 2016.
[25] 孙绍平. 阪神地震中给水管道震害及其分析[J]. 特种结构, 1997(2): 51-55.
[26] 王祥建, 郭恩栋, 张美晶. 汶川地震燃气管道震害分析及对策[J]. 世界地震工程, 2012, 28(4): 44-50.