基于灰色关联分析的广西农业现代化与经济发展研究

Research on Agricultural Modernizationand Economic Development in Guangxi Province Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

摘要: 随着我国经济与社会事业的迅猛进展，农业现代化成为国家发展的重要支柱。农业是我国国民经济的基础，实现农业现代化是提升国家整体经济实力的关键。本文通过构建农业现代化指标评价体系，运用灰色关联分析理论对广西农业现代化发展的影响因素进行了深入分析，提出了相应的对策与建议。同时通过建立灰色NGBM模型对广西农业现代化指标评价体系中在2022年~2025年期间进行农林牧渔业总产值、农业机械总动力、农村用电量等影响因素进行预测。预测结果表明，农业现代化对农村经济发展存在正相关。

Abstract: With the rapid progress of China’s economic and social undertakings, agricultural modernization has become an important pillar of national development. Agriculture is the foundation of our national economy, and the realization of agricultural modernization is the key to enhance the overall economic strength of the country. By constructing the index evaluation system of agricultural modernization, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of agricultural modernization development in Guangxi deeply by using grey correlation analysis theory, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions. At the same time, the grey NBGM model was established to predict the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, the total power of agricultural machinery, rural electricity consumption and other influencing factors in the evaluation system of Guangxi agricultural modernization from 2022 to 2025. The results show that there is a positive correlation between agricultural modernization and rural economic development.