信息沟通视角下自然灾害预警响应联动不足问题研究

Study on Inadequate Linkage of Natural Disaster Early Warning Response under the Perspective of Information Communication

摘要: 自然灾害频发背景下，预警响应协调联动问题已成为制约应急管理效能的突出症结，对此展开研究有助于破解应急管理协调困境。作为衔接预警发布与响应行动的核心环节，预警响应阶段强调预警信息触发与行动转化的实时联动，然而实践中常因信息沟通阻滞导致响应迟滞甚至行动真空。研究从信息沟通理论视角切入，从“主体网络–业务流程–反馈体系–保障体系”四个方面，系统分析了自然灾害预警响应联动不足的原因。研究发现，主体间的认知障碍、信息传递流程的有效性不足、预警反馈机制的缺乏以及信息沟通保障体系不完善等原因，共同阻滞了预警响应的有效联动。

Abstract: Under the background of frequent occurrence of natural disasters, the problem of coordination and linkage of early warning and response has become a prominent constraint on the effectiveness of emergency management, and research on this issue can help to solve the dilemma of emergency management coordination. As the core link between early warning release and response action, the early warning response phase emphasizes the real-time linkage between the triggering of early warning information and the transformation of action, but in practice, the information communication blockage often leads to response delay or even action vacuum. From the perspective of information communication theory, the study systematically analyzes the reasons for the insufficient linkage of natural disaster early warning and response from the four aspects of “subject network-business process-feedback system-guarantee system”. The study finds that the cognitive barrier among subjects, the lack of effectiveness of information transfer process, the lack of early warning feedback mechanism and the imperfection of the information communication guarantee system, etc., all together hinder the effective linkage of early warning response.