双循环格局下跨境电商对我国外贸的影响

The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce on China’s Foreign Trade under the Dual-Circulation Paradigm

摘要: “双循环”新发展格局旨在打造一个国内和国际市场相互促进的经济模式，这构成了我国未来发展战略的关键部分，在此背景下，跨境电商的发展不但有助于推动中国对外贸易发展模式转型升级，而且作为连接国内外市场的重要桥梁，其发展迎来了前所未有的机遇与挑战。本文首先阐述了跨境电商的定义及其当前的发展现状，进而分析了跨境电商在“双循环”格局中所扮演的关键角色，包括促进国内消费市场多元化、增强国内产业链韧性以及提升出口贸易质量等方面。随后文章探讨了“双循环”背景下跨境电商发展对我国外贸在宏观经济结构、中观产业生态以及微观企业运营三个层面的具体影响。最后基于上述分析，提出了包括制度创新、供应链升级、市场拓展以及技术赋能在内的多项政策建议，旨在为跨境电商的持续健康发展提供有力支撑，进一步推动我国对外贸易的高质量发展。

Abstract: The “dual circulation” new development paradigm aims to establish an economic model where domestic and international markets mutually reinforce each other, constituting a crucial component of China’s future development strategy. Against this backdrop, the growth of cross-border e-commerce not only facilitates the transformation and upgrading of China’s foreign trade development model but also, as a vital bridge connecting domestic and international markets, encounters unprecedented opportunities and challenges. This paper first elaborates on the definition of cross-border e-commerce and its current development status. It then analyzes the pivotal role cross-border e-commerce plays within the “dual circulation” framework, including diversifying the domestic consumer market, enhancing the resilience of domestic industrial chains, and improving the quality of export trade. Subsequently, the paper explores the specific impacts of cross-border e-commerce development on China’s foreign trade across three dimensions: macroeconomic structure, meso-level industrial ecosystems, and micro-level enterprise operations under the “dual circulation” context. Finally, based on the above analysis, the paper proposes multiple policy recommendations encompassing institutional innovation, supply chain upgrading, market expansion, and technological empowerment. These measures aim to provide robust support for the sustained and healthy development of cross-border e-commerce, further advancing the high-quality growth of China’s foreign trade.