数智化时代网络空间治理的风险防控与价值引领

Risk Prevention and Value Guidance in Cyberspace Governance in the Digital Intelligence Era

摘要: 随着我国互联网普及率突破78%，网络空间成为风险防控的新阵地，其为社会带来发展机遇的同时，也带来了主流价值被稀释、风险防控难度加大等全新挑战。本研究旨在探索数智化时代下的网络空间治理的理论和机制创新。通过构建“技术–制度–价值”三层融合的智能治理理论模型，明晰数据智能、规则协同与目标共识间的系统化关联路径，进而提出“底线安全–柔性引导”本土化双维治理机制，力求在筑牢意识形态的基础上，实现圈层化、情感化、精准化的价值传播。研究通过对国际数字治理经验的批判性借鉴，设计包含可量化指标(如公共认可度PAR、引导效能指数GEI)的实践框架与评估体系。最终，从顶层设计、人才培养、动态评估等方面提出推广措施，为提升网络空间治理工作的精准性、前瞻性与有效性提供理论支撑与实践方案。

Abstract: With my country’s internet penetration rate exceeding 78%, cyberspace has become a new frontier for risk prevention and control. While it brings development opportunities to society, it also presents new challenges such as the dilution of mainstream values and increased difficulty in risk prevention and control. This study aims to explore theoretical and mechanistic innovations in cyberspace governance in the digital intelligence era. By constructing a three-tiered integrated intelligent governance theoretical model of “technology-institution-value,” this research clarifies the systematic relationship between data intelligence, rule coordination, and goal consensus, and then proposes a localized two-dimensional governance mechanism of “bottom-line security-flexible guidance.” This mechanism seeks to achieve layered, emotional, and precise value dissemination while strengthening ideological foundations. Through critical analysis of international digital governance experiences, the study designs a practical framework and evaluation system including quantifiable indicators (such as Public Acceptance Rate (PAR) and Guidance Effectiveness Index (GEI)). Finally, it proposes implementation measures from the perspectives of top-level design, talent training, and dynamic evaluation, providing theoretical support and practical solutions for improving the accuracy, foresight, and effectiveness of cyberspace governance.