数字经济、技术创新对经济韧性的时空演变分析

Analysis of the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Economic Resilience Influenced by Digital Economy and Technological Innovation

摘要: 随着数字化浪潮席卷全球，数字经济蓬勃兴起，数字技术的广泛渗透与深度融合，持续激发技术创新活力与社会进步动能。本研究以东北三省34个城市为研究对象，借助熵值法、GIS分析法、空间杜宾模型分析东北三省2011~2021年数字经济、技术创新和经济韧性发展水平动态演进和时空特征，并探究数字经济、技术创新对经济韧性的作用机制。研究表明：数字经济、技术创新与经济韧性发展水平均呈波动上升的变化趋势，数字经济、技术创新对经济韧性的提高有显著的促进作用，同时对经济韧性的影响存在着明显的空间溢出效应，深入探究其作用机制提供了面对风险挑战的新思路，也为以增强经济韧性为目标的政策制定提供新视角。

Abstract: With the digital wave sweeping across the globe, the digital economy is booming, and the extensive penetration and deep integration of digital technologies continue to stimulate the vitality of technological innovation and the momentum of social progress. This study takes 34 cities in the three northeastern provinces as the research objects, and uses the entropy method, GIS analysis method, and spatial Durbin model to analyze the dynamic evolution and spatio-temporal characteristics of the development levels of the digital economy, technological innovation, and economic resilience in the three northeastern provinces from 2011 to 2021, and explores the mechanism of the impact of the digital economy and technological innovation on economic resilience. The research shows that the development levels of the digital economy, technological innovation, and economic resilience all present a fluctuating upward trend. The digital economy and technological innovation have a significant promoting effect on the improvement of economic resilience. At the same time, there is a clear spatial spillover effect on the impact of the digital economy and technological innovation on economic resilience. In-depth exploration of its mechanism provides new ideas for facing risks and challenges, and also offers a new perspective for policy-making aimed at enhancing economic resilience.