中国水产品出口贸易影响因素分析——以辽宁省为例

Analysis of Factors Influencing China’s Aquatic Product Export Trade—A Case Study of Liaoning Province

摘要: 中国是全球水产品出口大国，辽宁省作为全国重要海洋经济省份之一，凭借其区位优势和丰富的海洋资源，在水产品出口中占据重要地位。但当前受国际经贸摩擦和汇率波动等影响，其出口形势更加复杂与严峻。本文详细分析了辽宁省水产品出口贸易现状，并运用2015~2023相关数据，构建贸易引力模型实证分析了出口贸易的影响因素。研究得出：辽宁省GDP、贸易伙伴国GDP及渔业生产总值对水产品出口有着正向影响，地理距离和汇率波动对其具有负效应。最后本文给出了提升辽宁省水产品出口竞争力的对策与建议。

Abstract: China is a global leader in aquatic product exports, and Liaoning Province, as one of the country’s key marine economy regions, holds a significant position in this sector due to its geographical advantages and abundant marine resources. However, the current export landscape has become increasingly complex and challenging, influenced by international trade frictions, geopolitical risks, and exchange rate fluctuations. This paper provides a detailed analysis of the current state of Liaoning’s aquatic product exports and employs a trade gravity model with data from 2015 to 2023 to empirically examine the factors influencing export trade. The findings indicate that Liaoning’s GDP, the GDP of trading partners, and the output value of the fisheries industry positively affect aquatic product exports, while geographical distance and exchange rate fluctuations exert negative effects. Finally, the study proposes strategies and recommendations to enhance the competitiveness of Liaoning’s aquatic product exports.