红色旅游与区域经济耦合协调发展的时空演进与驱动机制——基于长沙、赣州、武汉、遵义的实证分析

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Mechanism of the Coupling Coordinated Development of Red Tourism and Regional Economy—An Empirical Analysis Based on Changsha, Ganzhou, Wuhan, and Zunyi

摘要: 红色旅游在承载社会文化功能的同时，也是革命老区产业升级和区域经济发展的重要引擎。为探究红色旅游与区域经济该如何实现良性互动和发展，本研究基于2013~2023年长沙、赣州、武汉、遵义四个典型城市的面板数据，运用耦合协调度模型和灰色关联度模型进行实证分析。研究发现：(1) 四城市的耦合协调度整体呈现上升趋势，但其演进路径各异，长沙与武汉为“稳步增长型”，赣州为“波动上升型”，遵义为“低位徘徊型”，在空间上呈现“武汉 > 长沙 > 赣州 > 遵义”的梯度差异。(2) 经济引领型城市的协同动力源于第三产业结构高级化，资源驱动型城市则依赖地方财政与基础设施。基于此，经济引领型城市应深化产业融合，资源驱动型城市需推动产品创新与市场化运营，以实现两系统的高质量协同发展。本研究不仅为理解红色旅游与区域经济的关系提供了系统性的视角与差异化的分析框架，也为两系统实现良性互动和协同发展提供了实证依据。

Abstract: While fulfilling social and cultural functions, red tourism serves as a significant engine for industrial upgrading and regional economic development in old revolutionary base areas. To explore how red tourism and regional economy can achieve benign interaction and coordinated development, this study employs the coupling coordination degree model and the grey relational analysis model for an empirical analysis based on panel data from four typical cities—Changsha, Ganzhou, Wuhan, and Zunyi—spanning from 2013 to 2023. The findings indicate that: (1) The coupling coordination degree of the four cities generally exhibits an upward trend, yet with distinct evolutionary paths: Changsha and Wuhan are characterized as “steady growth type”, Ganzhou as “fluctuating rising type”, and Zunyi as “low-level hovering type”, displaying a spatial gradient disparity of “Wuhan > Changsha > Ganzhou > Zunyi”. (2) The synergistic driving force of economy-led cities originates from the advancement of the tertiary industry structure, whereas resource-driven cities rely on local fiscal revenue and infrastructure. Based on these findings, economy-led cities should deepen industrial integration, while resource-driven cities need to promote product innovation and market-oriented operations to realize high-quality coordinated development of the two systems. This study not only provides a systematic perspective and a differentiated analytical framework for understanding the relationship between red tourism and regional economy but also offers an empirical basis for achieving benign interaction and coordinated development between the two systems.