中欧班列助推湖南经济高质量发展的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Promotion of High-Quality Economic Development in Hunan by the China-Europe Railway Express

摘要: 中欧班列自2014年10月开行以来累计发运6247列，拥有12条稳定运行线路，足迹遍布亚欧近30个国家100个城市。吸引了更多外向型企业落户湖南，推动本地优势产业扩大出口规模。本文选取2013~2023年湖南13个城市的面板数据作为样本，将中欧班列开通作为一项准自然实验，借助多期双重差分模型，实证探究中欧班列开通对湖南经济高质量发展的推动效应。研究结果显示，中欧班列开通对湖南经济高质量发展具有显著的正向影响；进一步的机制检验证实，创新驱动是中欧班列作用于湖南经济高质量发展的关键传导路径。基于此，本文最终提出了相应结论以及对应的政策建议。

Abstract: Since its launch in October 2014, the China-Europe Railway Express has operated a total of 6,247 trips, with 12 stable routes covering nearly 30 countries and 100 cities in Asia and Europe. It has attracted more export-oriented enterprises to settle in Hunan and promoted the expansion of export scale for Hunan’s advantageous local industries. This paper takes the panel data of 13 cities in Hunan from 2013 to 2023 as a sample, regards the opening of the China-Europe Railway Express as a quasi-natural experiment, and uses a multi-period difference-in-differences model to empirically explore the driving effect of the China-Europe Railway Express on Hunan’s high-quality economic development. The results show that the opening of the China-Europe Railway Express has a significant positive impact on Hunan’s high-quality economic development. Further mechanism verification confirms that innovation-driven development is the key transmission path through which the China-Europe Railway Express acts on Hunan’s high-quality economic development. Based on this, this paper finally puts forward corresponding conclusions and policy recommendations.to the Hans standard, which illustrates all the formats.