数字经济对我国区域经济韧性的影响机制及效应研究

Research on the Impact Mechanism and Effects of the Digital Economy on China’s Regional Economic Resilience

摘要: 当前，推动数字经济发展、增强区域经济韧性已成为实现区域经济高质量发展的关键路径。探究数字经济对区域经济韧性的影响，有助于实现中国式现代化和经济持续稳定高质量发展。基于2014~2023年中国30个省级行政区单位面板数据，围绕“数字经济对我国区域经济韧性的影响机制及效应研究”这一题目展开了一系列机理分析和实证检验。研究发现：(1) 数字经济对区域经济韧性存在显著的正向影响；(2) 数字经济通过区域创新能力与要素市场化水平对区域经济韧性发挥着积极作用；(3) 数字经济对区域经济韧性的影响具有区域异质性，表现为中部地区最强，东部地区次之，西部地区相对较弱。鉴于此，当前我国正处于战略机遇和风险挑战并存的时期，应着力发挥好数字经济对区域经济韧性的正向效应，深入实施创新驱动发展战略，为推动中国式现代化、实现高质量发展筑牢韧性支撑。

Abstract: Currently, promoting the development of the digital economy and enhancing the resilience of regional economies have become key paths to achieving high-quality development of regional economies. Exploring the impact of the digital economy on regional economic resilience is conducive to realizing the Chinese path to modernization and maintaining sustained, stable, and high-quality economic development. Based on panel data from 30 provincial-level units in China from 2014 to 2023, a series of mechanism analyses and empirical tests were conducted around the topic of “Research on the Impact Mechanism and Effects of the Digital Economy on China’s Regional Economic Resilience”. The research findings are as follows: (1) The digital economy has a significant positive impact on regional economic resilience; (2) The digital economy plays a positive role in regional economic resilience through regional innovation capabilities and the level of factor marketization; (3) The impact of the digital economy on regional economic resilience exhibits regional heterogeneity, with the strongest effect in the central region, followed by the eastern region, and the western region being relatively weaker. In view of this, China is currently in a period where strategic opportunities and risk challenges coexist. Efforts should be made to leverage the positive effects of the digital economy on regional economic resilience, deeply implement the innovation-driven development strategy, and build a solid resilience foundation for promoting the Chinese path to modernization and achieving high-quality development.