农业科技创新能力对城乡融合发展的影响

The Impact of Agricultural Science and Technology Innovation Capability on Urban-Rural Integrated Development

摘要: 近年来，农业科技创新迅速发展成为了社会经济转型和科技进步与发展的新动力，为推动城乡融合和全面推进乡村振兴提供了更好的机会。在理论研究的基础上构建了农业科技创新能力与城乡融合发展综合指标体系运用了熵权–TOPSIS进行了测算，以及引用中介机制测算了农业全要素生产率。并利用2011~2023年的省级面板数据。从理论和实证分析的角度探讨了农业科技创新能力，对城乡融合发展的影响效应及作用机制结果表明农业科技创新能力能够显著提升城乡融合水平。该结论通过工具变量估计与稳健性检验后依然成立。机制检验表明，农业技术进步是农业科技创新能力推动城乡融合发展的关键。异质性分析表明东部和西部地区以及实验区等受益明显，中部地区和非实验区有抑制作用。

Abstract: In recent years, agricultural science and technology innovation has rapidly developed, becoming a new driving force for socioeconomic transformation and technological advancement, providing unprecedented opportunities for promoting urban-rural integration and comprehensively advancing rural revitalization. Based on theoretical analysis, this study constructs a comprehensive indicator system for agricultural science and technology innovation capacity and urban-rural integrated development. The TOPSIS method combined with entropy weighting is employed to measure these indices, and the mediating role of agricultural total factor productivity (ATFP) is examined. Using provincial panel data from 2011 to 2023, this paper explores, from both theoretical and empirical perspectives, the impact and underlying mechanisms of agricultural science and technology innovation capacity on urban-rural integration. The results show that agricultural science and technology innovation capacity significantly enhances the level of urban-rural integration. This conclusion remains robust after applying instrumental variable estimation and conducting a series of robustness checks. Mechanism tests confirm that agricultural technological progress is a key pathway through which innovation capacity promotes urban-rural integration. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the positive effects are more pronounced in eastern and western regions, as well as in pilot zones, while the impact is relatively weaker or even inhibitory in central regions and non-pilot areas.