社会现代化视角下养老责任观念的代际差异——基于分位数回归和有调节的中介效应分析

Intergenerational Differences in the Concept of Elderly Care Responsibility from the Perspective of Social Modernization—A Study Based on Quantile Regression and Moderated Mediation Effects

摘要: 在人口老龄化日益加剧和社会现代化进程持续加快的背景下，探索居民的养老责任观念是否已经发生转变及其原因具有十分重要的意义。基于此，本文依托CGSS2023数据，系统探讨代价差异对居民养老责任观念的影响机制。研究发现，代际差异不仅显著影响居民的养老责任观念，还呈现出显著的观念强度层面的异质性，且住房面积在这过程中发挥显著的中介作用并呈现出显著的城乡差异。基于此，本文认为：要加快完善社会养老服务体系、持续加大农村地区的养老基础设施建设力度并稳步提升城镇地区的养老服务质量，从而最终实现在顺应居民养老责任观念发生转变的基础上推动构建现代养老体系的目标。

Abstract: Against the backdrop of an increasingly aging population and the continuous acceleration of social modernization, it is of great significance to explore whether the elderly care responsibility concepts of residents have changed and the reasons behind it. Based on this, this paper, relying on the CGSS2023 data, systematically explores the influence mechanism of cost differences on residents’ elderly care responsibility concepts. The research finds that intergenerational differences not only significantly affect residents’ elderly care responsibility concepts but also show significant heterogeneity at the level of concept intensity. Moreover, housing area plays a significant mediating role in this process and shows significant urban-rural differences. Based on this, this paper argues that it is necessary to accelerate the improvement of the social elderly care service system, continuously increase the construction of elderly care infrastructure in rural areas, and steadily improve the quality of elderly care services in urban areas, so as to ultimately achieve the goal of promoting the construction of a modern elderly care system in line with the transformation of residents’ elderly care responsibility concepts.