农业技术进步对农民农村共同富裕的影响研究——基于我国30个省级行政区的面板数据分析

Research on the Impact of Agricultural Technological Progress on Common Prosperity for Farmers and Rural Areas—Based on the Panel Data Analysis of 30 Provincial Administrative Regions in China

摘要: 如何通过农业技术进步增强农民农村共同富裕是推动全体人民共同富裕的关键所在，本文采用2011~2023年我国30个省级行政区的面板数据，通过实证检验探究农业技术、产业结构升级对农民农村共同富裕的影响。研究结果表明：农业技术进步、产业结构升级对农民农村的共同富裕均具有显著促进作用，通过剔除年份、更换被解释变量测算方法以及增加控制变量等方法进行稳健性检验，增强文章回归结论的可靠性。北方地区和产销平衡区农业技术进步迅速增长为农民农村共同富裕提供了坚实的支撑，但南方地区和粮食主产区和粮食主销区的发展对农民农村共同富裕的正面效应未能通过显著性检验。

Abstract: Examining how agricultural technological progress can enhance common prosperity for farmers and rural areas is pivotal to achieving nationwide common prosperity. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces administrative regions spanning 2011~2023, this paper empirically investigates the impacts of agricultural technology and industrial-structure upgrading on rural common prosperity. The results indicate that both agricultural technological progress and industrial-structure upgrading significantly promote common prosperity among farmers and rural regions. Robustness checks—excluding certain years, adopting alternative measures of the dependent variable, and incorporating additional controls—confirm the reliability of the regression findings. Rapid advances in agricultural technology in northern China and in production-sales balanced zones have provided solid support for rural common prosperity, whereas the positive effects observed in southern China, major grain-producing areas and major grain-selling areas fail to pass conventional significance tests.