安徽省农产品供应链韧性测度及对策研究

Research on the Measurement and Countermeasures of Agricultural Product Supply Chain Resilience in Anhui Province

摘要: 农产品供应链的稳定运行，直接影响居民日常生活，关系社会秩序稳定与经济健康发展。为衡量安徽省农产品供应链韧性水平，结合当地农业发展实际情况，本文构建了包含4项一级指标、12项二级指标的评价体系。采用层次分析法确定指标权重，结合模糊综合评价法建立测度模型，重点分析该省农产品供应链在应对风险时的防御、响应与恢复能力。研究显示，安徽省农产品供应链韧性整体处于中高过渡阶段，距离高水平韧性要求仍有差距。据此，文章从深化信息技术应用、健全应急保障体系等角度提出针对性优化举措，以增强该省农产品供应链的抗风险能力。

Abstract: The stable operation of the agricultural product supply chain directly affects residents’ daily lives, and is closely related to social order stability and sound economic development. To measure the resilience level of the agricultural product supply chain in Anhui Province, this paper constructs an evaluation system consisting of 4 primary indicators and 12 secondary indicators in combination with the actual local agricultural development situation. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is adopted to determine indicator weights, and a measurement model is established by applying the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method, focusing on analyzing the defense, response and recovery capabilities of the province’s agricultural product supply chain in coping with risks. The research results show that the overall resilience of Anhui’s agricultural product supply chain is in the transition stage from medium to high level, and there is still a gap from the requirements of high-level resilience. On this basis, targeted optimization measures are put forward from the perspectives of deepening the application of information technology and improving the emergency support system, so as to enhance the risk resistance capacity of the agricultural product supply chain in Anhui Province.