数字技术赋能城市韧性治理的过程机理：基于G市的政策文本分析

The Process Mechanism of Digital Technology-Enabled Urban Resilience Governance: A Policy Text Analysis Based on City G

摘要: 全球气候变暖背景下，极端天气事件呈现持续性、复合性与群发性特征，对超大城市的正常运转与安全发展构成严峻挑战。数字技术如何作用于城市气候韧性治理，成为当前城市治理研究的重要议题。本文基于技术治理与复杂系统理论，构建“技术创新–资源优化–体系再造–模式变革”的分析框架，选取G市2014~2024年间气候韧性治理政策文本，运用NVivo软件进行内容编码与耦合分析，探究智慧治理赋能超大城市气候韧性的过程机制。研究发现：其一，G市的数字技术利用已实现代际更新，物联网、大数据、人工智能等新一代数字技术深度嵌入城市治理；其二，数字赋能韧性治理的全过程呈现“重监测预警、轻响应恢复”的结构性失衡，技术嵌入存在显著的环节差异；其三，数字赋能仍以技术工具的初阶应用为主，技术–组织–制度互构效应尚未充分显现。研究认为，应以气候韧性建设作为宜居韧性智慧城市建设的跃升路径，通过强化跨系统全要素耦合、补齐响应恢复系统数字赋能短板、探索与数字技术适配的运行机制，实现超大城市气候韧性治理的系统性跃升。

Abstract: Against the backdrop of global warming, extreme weather events are exhibiting persistent, compound, and clustered characteristics, posing severe challenges to megacities. How digital technology functions in urban climate resilience governance has become a crucial topic in urban governance research. Based on theories of technological governance and complex systems, this study constructs an analytical framework of “technological innovation-resource optimization-system restructuring-model transformation,” and employs NVivo to code and analyze climate resilience governance policy texts of City G from 2014 to 2024. The findings indicate that: first, City G has achieved generational transformation in digital technology application; second, digitally enabled resilience governance demonstrates a structural imbalance emphasizing monitoring and early warning while neglecting response and recovery; third, digital governance still primarily relies on initial application of technological tools, and the interactive transformation among technology, organization, and institutions has not been fully realized. This study contends that climate resilience building should be positioned as a strategic pathway for advancing livable, resilient, and smart city development. Achieving a systemic leap in climate resilience governance in megacities requires stronger coupling among cross-system governance elements, enhanced digital empowerment of response and recovery systems, and the establishment of operational mechanisms that are better aligned with digital technologies.