我国“银发经济”研究的知识图谱与社会学视角演进分析(2016~2026年)

An Analysis of the Evolution of Knowledge Maps and Sociological Perspectives in Research on China’s “Silver Economy” (2016~2026)

摘要: 伴随我国加速步入中度老龄化社会，银发经济已成为积极应对人口老龄化国家战略的重要载体。本研究运用VOSviewer文献计量软件，对2016至2026年间CNKI中文核心期刊中我国银发经济研究的年度发文量、核心作者、合作机构及关键词共现进行可视化拓扑分析，以期透视其知识网络结构与社会学范式演进。结果显示，国内银发经济研究呈现显著的政策触发特征，2024年国办1号文件引发学术产出井喷；学术共同体呈现“局部高集聚、跨区弱连接”的特征，形成了以传统人口社会学与公共管理学强校为核心的研究矩阵；银发经济、人口老龄化与养老产业构成稳固的知识网络核心，后期新质生产力、智慧养老等新兴词高频涌现。研究结论表明，过去十年间我国学界在老龄化叙事上经历了深刻的代际跃迁，成功完成了从关注基本救助与社会负担的“危机范式”，向融合数字经济与高质量发展的“红利范式”的历史性转向。

Abstract: As China accelerates its transition into a moderately aged society, the silver economy has become a key component of the national strategy to actively address population aging. This study employs the VOSviewer bibliometric software to conduct a visual topological analysis of the annual publication volume, core authors, collaborating institutions, and keyword co-occurrences in research on China’s silver economy published in CNKI Chinese core journals from 2016 to 2026, with the aim of elucidating the structure of its knowledge network and the evolution of sociological paradigms. The results indicate that domestic research on the silver economy exhibits significant policy-driven characteristics, with the 2024 State Council General Office Document No. 1 triggering a surge in academic output; the academic community exhibits characteristics of “localized high clustering and weak cross-regional connections”, forming a research matrix centered on leading institutions in traditional demography and public administration; the silver economy, population aging, and the elderly care industry constitute a solid core of the knowledge network, with emerging terms such as “new-quality productive forces” and “smart elderly care” appearing frequently in later stages. The research conclusions indicate that over the past decade, China’s academic community has undergone a profound generational shift in its narrative on aging, successfully completing a historic transition from the “crisis paradigm”—which focused on basic assistance and social burdens—to the “dividend paradigm”, which integrates the digital economy and high-quality development.