基于功能共振与耦合协调的通用航空事故分析
Analysis of General Aviation Accidents Based on Functional Resonance and Coupling Coordination
DOI: 10.12677/ojtt.2026.155059, PDF,   
作者: 刘悦诗：西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院，四川 成都；黄文成*：西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院，四川 成都；西南交通大学系统科学与系统工程研究所，四川 成都
关键词: 航空运输；耦合协调模型；功能共振分析方法；通用航空事故；事故致因分析；Air Transportation； Coupling Coordination Model； Functional Resonance Analysis Method； General Aviation Accidents； Accident Causation Analysis
摘要: 针对通用航空事故致因复杂耦合、现有研究系统性定量分析不足的问题，本文将功能共振分析方法(FRAM)与耦合协调模型(CCM)相结合，以耦合度衡量各功能变异程度，以协调度衡量变异传播强度，以耦合协调度定量测度功能间共振强度，构建一种定量化的通用航空事故成因分析方法，并以2025年中国通用航空事故数据进行验证。结果表明，M10 (航空器着陆)与M11 (完成飞行活动)、M8 (备降机场备降)与M9 (着陆许可)、M15 (备降机场)与M7 (执行飞行任务)的功能共振强度最高，且事故发生频率与功能共振强度总体呈正相关。高共振功能连接是事故预防与风险控制的关键节点，应针对高变异性功能设置防护屏障并加强安全管理。
Abstract: To address the complex coupling characteristics of general aviation accident causes and the lack of systematic quantitative analysis in existing research, this study integrates the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) with the Coupling Coordination Model (CCM). Coupling degree is used to measure the variability of each function, coordination degree to measure variability propagation intensity, and coupling coordination degree to quantitatively assess functional resonance intensity, thereby establishing a quantitative method for general aviation accident causation analysis. The method is validated using general aviation accident data from China in 2025. Results show that the functional resonance intensity is highest between M10 (Aircraft Landing) and M11 (Complete Flight Activities), M8 (Diversion at Alternate Airport) and M9 (Landing Permission), and M15 (Alternate Airport) and M7 (Implement the Flight), with overall accident frequency positively correlated with functional resonance intensity. High-resonance functional links are identified as critical nodes for accident prevention and risk control, suggesting that protective barriers should be established for high-variability functions alongside strengthened safety management.
文章引用：刘悦诗, 黄文成. 基于功能共振与耦合协调的通用航空事故分析[J]. 交通技术, 2026, 15(5): 687-700. https://doi.org/10.12677/ojtt.2026.155059

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