城市人工智能暴露与服务业招聘需求的关联性研究
A Study on the Correlation between Urban AI Exposure and Recruitment Demand in the Service Industry
摘要: 人工智能作为划时代的变革性技术，正深刻影响着我国劳动力市场。本文以2016年至2023年我国121个地级市为研究样本，实证检验了城市人工智能暴露与服务业招聘需求之间的关系。研究结果表明，城市人工智能暴露与服务业招聘需求之间存在“正U型”曲线关系。经稳健性检验后，结果仍然稳健。异质性分析发现，城市人工智能暴露与服务业招聘需求的关系在不同区域、城市规模、细分行业和学历上均存在明显的异质性。研究结论以期为实现技术创新与就业稳定的动态平衡提供相关参考。
Abstract: As a transformative technology, AI has been significantly affecting China’s labor market. Using data from 121 prefecture-level cities in China (2016~2023), this study empirically examines the relationship between urban AI exposure and recruitment demand in the service industry. The results show a positive U-shaped relationship, which remains robust after robustness checks. Heterogeneity analysis reveals significant differences across regions, city sizes, sub-sectors, and educational attainment levels. These findings offer policy implications for achieving a dynamic balance between technological innovation and employment stability.
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