新疆棉纺织产业链韧性发展的风险分析及防范措施
Risk Analysis and Preventive Measures for the Resilient Development of Xinjiang Cotton Textile Industry Chain
摘要: 新疆作为棉纺织发展重要地区,其韧性建设面临国际市场、技术变革与资源约束等多方面挑战。特别是突发公共卫生事件以后新疆棉纺织产业链发展面临诸多风险挑战,本文基于韧性发展理论,简要分析产业链内外部风险:外部受宏观经济波动及水资源短缺制约,内部存在出口市场依赖、产业链处境的问题。经分析提出提升风险管理意识与能力,加强市场调控、优化产业结构,拓展市场渠道和强化科技创新两条建议,旨在为新疆棉纺织产业链发展提供相关建议和改革方向,为国内纺织产业链韧性重构提供经验借鉴与实践参考。
Abstract: As an important region for the development of cotton textiles, Xinjiang’s resilience construction faces various challenges such as international markets, technological changes, and resource constraints. Especially after the sudden public health emergency, the development of Xinjiang’s cotton textile industry chain faces many risks and challenges. Based on the theory of resilient development, this article briefly analyzes the internal and external risks of the industry chain: external factors such as macroeconomic fluctuations and water scarcity constraints, internal problems such as export market dependence and low-end industrial chain situation. After analysis, two suggestions were proposed to enhance risk management awareness and capabilities, strengthen market regulation, optimize industrial structure, expand market channels, and strengthen technological innovation. The aim is to provide relevant suggestions and reform directions for the development of the cotton textile industry chain in Xinjiang, and to provide experiences and practical references for rebuilding the resilience of the domestic textile industry chain.
参考文献
|
[1]
|
国家统计局关于2023年棉花产量的公告[EB/OL]. https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202312/t20231225_1945745.html, 2023-12-25.
|
|
[2]
|
《兵团棉花的故事》为您讲述绽放荒野的“奇迹之花” [EB/OL]. https://www.moa.gov.cn/xw/qg/202406/t20240621_6457572.htm, 2024-06-21.
|
|
[3]
|
2023年新疆棉花总产预计500万吨以上 机采率超85% [EB/OL]. https://www.moa.gov.cn:10443/xw/qg/202311/t20231120_6440874.htm, 2023-11-20.
|
|
[4]
|
新疆棉花主要质量指标达近五年来最好水平[EB/OL]. http://news.cctv.cn/2024/04/16/ARTIJs9Pmeeyq2D5A9mvRTXj240416.shtml, 2024-04-16.
|
|
[5]
|
《新疆纺织服装产业发展规划(2018—2023年)》印发实施[EB/OL]. https://gxt.xinjiang.gov.cn/gxt/qtfd/201803/6c2a1116ee4942d2941e9ab89c0c753b.shtml, 2018-03-05.
|
|
[6]
|
Martin, R. (2012) Regional Economic Resilience, Hysteresis and Recessionary Shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 12, 1-32. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr019
|
|
[7]
|
吕越, 陈泳昌. 提升产业链韧性和安全水平: 时代背景、风险挑战与靶向进路[J]. 学术论坛, 2024, 47(2): 58-67.
|
|
[8]
|
王晴, 孙戈兵. 中国棉花产业链韧性评价[J]. 中国棉花, 2024, 51(10): 1-8+14.
|
|
[9]
|
张娇, 苏洋, 刘维忠, 等. 中国棉花产业链韧性评估及影响因素分析[J]. 棉花学报, 2024, 36(5): 408-419.
|
|
[10]
|
王雪颖, 吕慧捷, 袁小伟, 等. 新疆棉花产业链发展现状及展望[J]. 山西农经, 2022(9): 1-4+8.
|
|
[11]
|
《新疆纺织服装产业发展规划(2018-2023年)》印发实施[J]. 上海纺织科技, 2018, 46(3): 62-63.
|
|
[12]
|
郭洲洋. 棉价连续下跌 成本降低“放飞”纺服板块[EB/OL]. https://www.cnfin.com/gs-lb/detail/20240809/4087188_1.html#1, 2024-08-09.
|
|
[13]
|
新疆棉花主要质量指标达近五年来最好水平[J]. 中国棉花加工, 2024(2): 26.
|
|
[14]
|
徐爱武, 李翼然, 尚斌. 我国植棉区棉花种植现状及其发展建议[J]. 中国棉花加工, 2022(5): 28-30.
|
|
[15]
|
苏宏超, 沈永平, 韩萍, 等. 新疆降水特征及其对水资源和生态环境的影响[J]. 冰川冻土, 2007, 29(3): 343-350.
|
|
[16]
|
Fusillo, F., Consoli, D. and Quatraro, F. (2022) Resilience, Skill Endowment, and Diversity: Evidence from US Metropolitan Areas. Economic Geography, 98, 170-196. https://doi.org/10.1080/00130095.2021.2008797
|
|
[17]
|
王勇, 钱婧, 郭少瑛. 中国边疆民族地区产业升级的新结构经济学分析: 以新疆纺织服装产业为例[J]. 西安交通大学学报(社会科学版), 2025, 45(1): 69-85.
|