新质生产力对城市产业链供应链韧性的影响研究

Research on the Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on the Resilience of Urban Industrial and Supply Chains

摘要: 基于2011~2023年中国275个地级市面板数据，本文从劳动者、劳动资料和劳动对象三个维度构建城市新质生产力评价指标体系，并从产业抗风险能力和产业更新修复力两个方面测度产业链供应链韧性，采用双向固定效应模型和中介效应模型，考察新质生产力对产业链供应链韧性的影响及作用机制。研究表明新质生产力能够显著提升城市产业链供应链韧性，并主要通过深化数实融合和推动平台经济发展发挥中介作用。异质性分析发现，新质生产力的促进作用在东南地区和高市场一体化地区更为显著。

Abstract: Based on panel data from 275 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2023, this study constructs an evaluation index system for urban new quality productive forces from three dimensions: workers, means of labor, and objects of labor. The resilience of industrial and supply chains is measured from two aspects: industrial risk resistance and industrial recovery and renewal capacity. A two-way fixed-effects model and a mediation effect model are employed to examine the impact of new quality productive forces on the resilience of urban industrial and supply chains and its underlying mechanisms. The results show that new quality productive forces significantly enhance the resilience of urban industrial and supply chains, mainly through deepening the integration of the digital economy and the real economy and promoting the development of the platform economy. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive effect of new quality productive forces is more pronounced in southeastern regions and areas with a higher degree of market integration.